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Simply knowing how to calculate the no-vig probabilities is not going to make you a winning bettor but you can use those probabilities to help you win; one way to do this is to create a model that are more accurate than the opening lines of a sportsbook. Suppose that you model the game tomorrow between the Yankees and the Royals and the lines are -160150 respectively and you model the game with a fair line of -170170. Obviously the underdog is not a good bet since you only get a price of 150 on a game where you predict they should be getting 170.

Conversely, the price of -160 is more appealing since the line is better than you have modelled. The line of -170 you predicted converts to a winning percentage of 62. 96 as opposed to the actual line of -160 which gives 61. 54 - this means that taking the Yankees at a price of -160 gives you an edge of 1. When you bet with a positive edge (based on the line you bet versus the no vig closing line, assuming you are betting into efficient markets) you will win at sports betting over the long term. If you bet with a negative edge then, much like a game of roulette at your local casino, you will be a lifetime loser. Before you embark on betting on sports, be sure to join a Sports Betting Forum to learn the finer points of handicapping as well as a resource to give you up to date Sportsbook Information.

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Reviewed Item: Australian Online Casino Pokies Real Money
Author Rating: 9/10 starstarstarstar